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Pension reform: will your deputy vote for or against?


What do Breton deputies intend to vote on the pension bill? On the side of the Nupes, no suspense. No question of endorsing a reform deemed “brutal and unfair”, in the words of Claudia Rouaux, PS deputy for Rennes-Monfort-sur-Meu, who says she thinks in particular of the employees of the food industry in her constituency. Unsurprisingly, the three rebels and the three socialists elected in the region “will be unanimous on the no”, she confirms. Another deputy not to make a secret of his opposition to the government project: the Morbihannais Paul Molac, who sits within LIOT (Freedoms, independents, overseas and territories). His group, which brings together centrists, former macronists, regionalists and elected officials from overseas, could even be at the origin of a cross-partisan motion of censure, in the event of 49.3.

No switch to “yes”

An option that the government repeats wanting to avoid. But that he could be forced to activate if he fails to build a majority on the text. A sign of its difficulties: among the right-wing or center-right Breton deputies who have expressed reservations about the bill, none have, to date, switched to a clear and clear “yes” vote. “For the moment, my vote is negative”, answers the deputy of Saint-Malo (35), Jean-Luc Bourgeaux, who sits in the LR group, and had been one of the first on the right to threaten to “fronde”. Thierry Benoit, Horizons de Fougères deputy, remains silent, despite repeated requests. As for the deputy of Lamballe, Marc Le Fur (LR), and the deputy of Brest-ville, Jean-Charles Larsonneur (app-Horizons), they say they are waiting for the results of the joint joint commission (which will meet on Wednesday to draw up a text of compromise) before deciding definitively.

“Marc Le Fur is a free man. It will be determined in conscience, according to the text resulting from the CMP. With particular attention to long careers, the question of women and measures aimed at encouraging the birth rate”, specifies his parliamentary assistant, Stéphane de Sallier Dupin, recalling for all intents and purposes that the Costa Rican deputy had tabled, during the discussion at the Assembly, a whole series of amendments, none of which were retained.

I’m not going to scroll, I will give notice between Wednesday and Thursday

“I will not slip away, I will give an opinion between Wednesday and Thursday”, assures, for his part, the Brestois Jean-Charles Larsonneur. He who stood out at the end of January, saying he was “not very enthusiastic about the reform”, does not rule out voting “yes”. But he claims to keep big points of attention. Among the developments that could finish convincing him, more readability concerning long careers: “43 years of contribution for everyone, without ambiguity, that would be good”.

No sign of rebellion among the Breton Renaissance

On the “yes” side, the government will be able to count, barring a huge surprise, on all of the Bretons of the Renaissance group (twelve in number out of the 27 deputies in the region). Even if their degree of investment in the defense of reform has been variable, no sign of rebellion has been observed in the region.

The picture is a little more mixed on the side of the MoDem. With, on the one hand, an Erwan Balanant (deputy for Quimperlé-Concarneau) very present on television sets to defend the reform and, on the other, a Mickaël Cosson (deputy for Saint-Brieuc) on the reserve: “ It is the conclusions of the CMP and the developments obtained during it that will determine my vote. I am convinced of the need for reform but also convinced that it must integrate the arduous nature of the professions and erase the injustices of long and choppy careers, especially among women”.

I don’t see the government doing anything other than filing a 49.3

The balance sheet? If only the Breton deputies voted, Elisabeth Borne would have little to worry about. This is obviously not the case at the national level. “I don’t see the government doing anything other than filing a 49.3”, slips moreover Claudia Rouaux, claiming to have come across, among the right-wing and center deputies, more elected officials telling her “eye to eye than they would not vote for the reform” than the contrary.

“We are within the margin of error”, also believes Jean-Charles Larsonneur, who however thinks the executive capable of taking the risk of a vote even if the result is not completely assured: “A 49.3 is not never good news. The parliamentarians feel cheated, the government takes all the anger”.

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